Hi ZS, assuming that whether not really one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, either way?) is independent from winning or losing on any scratch ticket, you treat each event as persistent event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent gatherings. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Beat the probabilities of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets back to back (if it is exactly what your problem is asking) must be (2/3)^30 = approximately four.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 through 10 million, which depends upon 1 chance out of 192,307.
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